A super strong El Niño and record high global sea surface temperatures are set to deliver devastating extreme weather events all over the planet in 2024. They will be extremely costly and traumatic for many millions of people around the world. But the real concern is what the consequences of those events will show us about the fragility and vulnerability our global food supply network is. A worrying portent of our near-term future?

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Research Links

MINTEC - El Niño prediction for 2023 24
https://www.mintecglobal.com/top-stor....

IPCC 6th Assessment
https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/ch...

2023 US billion dollar disasters
https://laist.com/news/climate-enviro...

Ocean Heat Absorption
https://www.theguardian.com/environme....

https://www.resilience.org/stories/20...

Cheng et al 2022 - Ocean Heating
https://link.springer.com/article/10....

Bentley et al 2022 - Global wheat supplies
https://www.nature.com/articles/s4301...

Hedlund et al 2022 - Impacts of climate change on global food trade networks
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10...

Callahan et al 2023 - Persistent effects of El Niño on global food supplies
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/s...

Barclays - Global food systems under mounting pressure
https://www.cib.barclays/our-insights...

https://www.cib.barclays/content/dam/...

NOAA ENSO Update April 2023
https://www.climate.gov/news-features...

WMO reports
https://public.wmo.int/en/media/press...

https://public.wmo.int/en/media/press...

Other media reports on El Niño and food supply network

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/06/29/ec...

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/07/05/wo...

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/05/17/wo...

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