In this video, James Allcott simulates the Premier League season 4,000 times to find out who wins the title, which teams can qualify for the Champions League and which team could be relegated.

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How it works:
The simulations work by predicting each game for the rest of the season and updating the table as it goes.

The predictions are made by a (simple) AI model. The model looks at 10 factors:

Points of the home team
Average home points-per-game of the home team
Average goals scored at home for the home team
Average goals conceded at home for the home team
Form of the past 5 games for the home team
Points of the away team
Average away points-per-game of the away team
Average goals scored away for the away team
Average goals conceded away for the away team
Form of the past 5 games of the away team

The model doesn’t predict an exact outcome. It gives probabilities of each team scoring a certain amount of goals. For example, for the home team the prediction might look like:
0 goals: 30%
1 goal: 40%
2 goals: 20%
3 goals: 6%
4+ goals: 4%

This process is repeated for each game left in the season, and the final positions are saved. Then this is repeated for ‘x’ number of simulations, to allow a spread of results to be generated.

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James Allcott content focuses on Premier League, Champions League, EFL Championship talking about Manchester United, Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham, Barcelona, England, Chelsea, Jurgen Klopp, Erik Ten Hag, Mikel Arteta, transfer news, tactical analysis and much more. James has made content with Mark Goldbridge from the United Stand, Rory Jennings, Ben Foster, Spencer FC, The Club, Thogden, JaackMaate, ESPN and many more.

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