Published On Dec 22, 2021
Australia takes the courage of it's convictions
US
Half a billion free at home lateral flow tests
Military (1,000) helping hospitals
The omicron virus spread more rapidly than anyone thought
Texas
One omicron death
Man in his 50s
Underlying health conditions
Unvaccinated
Australia
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pa...
NSW, cases + 3,763
Victoria, cases + 1,503
Australian thinking
To stop omicron with vaccination, near 100% efficacy with near 100% uptake
With no waning
Natural infection promotes antibody IgA
(vaccines generate IgM then IgG
Preventing vial replication in the upper airways
Allowing omicron infection up to the point where hospitalisations are manageable
Less pathogenic with shorter hospital stays
Natural immunity giving cross immunity to the next variant
Concurrent booster programme for the elderly and comorbid
Over time need for pharmaceutical and NPIs will diminish
If hospitalisations do rise, population will self-titrate
https://www.doherty.edu.au/our-work/i...
Millions of Covid cases by the end of January or early February
Infections, + 200,000 per day
Up to 4,000 hospitalisations a day
PM Mr Morrison
The modelling assumed the Omicron strain is as serious as Delta
Failed to account for boosters
or people taking sensible behavioural responses in what they're doing
So I wouldn't want to alarm people over that report.
That is not what we are actually expecting to happen
The grim predictions were highly unlikely
There is a range of scenarios,
of course the number of Omicron cases will increase.
It's highly infectious.
But the indications are that it is not as severe and our hospitals,
in NSW and Victoria, have been coping extremely well
Professor Paul Kelly, Australia chief medical officer
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...
selective and misleading media reporting about ongoing modelling
the predicted hospitalisation estimations are unlikely.
Evidence about the characteristics of Omicron is still emerging but early trends seen both internationally and within Australia suggest that it is more transmissible
However, early indications around hospitalisation, ICU admission and death show that Omicron could be far less than Delta and other variants
Importantly, after almost four weeks of Omicron in Australia there are currently no confirmed Omicron cases in ICU and no deaths confirmed to date
Modelling, it's one of a range of tools and can't be viewed in isolation
A preliminary scenario, of many being considered to help inform decision making
Presents one of the worst case of all potential scenarios
including assumptions that the Omicron variant is as severe as the Delta variant,
an absence of hospital surge capacity,
a highly limited booster program,
no change to baseline public health and social measures
and an absence of spontaneous behaviour change in the face of rising case numbers
None of these five assumptions represent the likely state of events, let alone all of them together,
therefore presenting that scenario as the likely scenario that will occur is highly misleading
Former deputy chief health officer Nick Coatsworth
Whoever leaked the Doherty modelling without context has committed a gross injustice to the Australian people
Federal Health Minister Greg Hunt
Despite the rapid spread of Omicron
only a fraction of cases were ending up in hospitals
SA hospital data
https://www.nicd.ac.za/diseases-a-z-i...
UK data
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk
https://www.gov.uk/government/publica...
Self-isolation pragmatism
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politic...
People infected with Covid in England,
stop self-isolating,
negative lateral flows on day six and day seven
Strongly advised to limit, contact with vulnerable, crowded or poorly ventilated spaces, work from home
Sajid Javid acting on expert advice
Applies to everyone, regardless of vaccination status
Should still isolate if symptomatic
People not double-jabbed who have close contact with a positive case must still isolate for a full 10 days
Wefwafwa’s Medical videos channel
/ @wefwafwaandrew
In case you want to support our community outreach programs please Use, (all donations go directly to the Uganda)
patreon: / awmedicalvideos
Donate: SENDWAVE/ WorldRemit/Wise transfer/money Gram
Mobile money number:+256785698803
Country: Uganda
Registered name : Wefwafwa Andrew